The SABR- Dodgers

The blog that helps you out with understanding the always interesting organization in the Los Angeles Dodgers. Feel free to vent, moan, and give advice to other bloggers.

Friday, December 23, 2005

Dodgers' Hitters, Bill James Style!

Here is what Bill James is projecting our hitters to do in 2006 (this might change before he comes out with his revised version on March 1, 2006.
G AB H HR R RBI BB SO SB CS Avg. OBP SLG OPS

Alomar Jr.: 76 208 53 3 20 23 9 21 0 0 .255 .289 .346 .635

Aybar: 98 237 63 2 22 25 23 34 3 3 .266 .333 .363 .701

Choi: 130 357 92 17 53 52 53 88 1 1 .258 .361 .463 .824

Cruz Jr.: 119 392 102 17 66 60 63 92 4 2 .260 .364 .480 .844

Drew: 125 444 130 25 90 70 82 94 6 3 .293 .409 .525 .933

Furcal: 155 627 179 13 109 58 64 82 37 11 .285 .354 .418 .771

Garciaparra: 115 462 142 18 75 74 32 46 4 2 .307 .359 .506 .865

Guzman (Joel): 72 282 74 10 35 42 23 84 4 3 .262 .318 .440 .758

Izturis: 135 502 135 2 58 40 28 55 11 7 .269 .310 .345 .655

Kent: 152 579 168 27 93 106 62 100 5 3 .290 .366 .504 .870

Ledee: 121 292 73 9 40 46 35 72 1 1 .250 .334 .411 .745

Lofton: 106 343 97 5 59 32 37 41 14 5 .283 .356 .391 .747

Mueller: 146 537 152 12 80 64 65 78 1 1 .283 .365 .421 .786

Navarro: 119 361 95 7 40 35 38 39 2 1 .263 .335 .372 .706

Repko: 65 112 26 4 17 10 8 27 3 1 .232 .312 .402 .714

Robles: 118 328 94 4 42 33 29 26 0 0 .287 .348 .293 .741

Saenz: 100 259 67 11 32 42 22 56 0 0 .259 .329 .448 .777

Valentin: 97 291 64 13 43 39 35 77 4 2 .223 .313 .412 .723

Werth: 97 275 70 10 42 42 19 39 10 3 .255 .347 .433 .780


Best Player:

J.D. Drew, outperforming all in sometimes less games.

Worst Player:

Cesar Izturis, who is becoming less and less needed.

*Keep in mind that many of the offseason acquisitions were judged by their old teams, so they might change and so could some of our players*

Pitchers to come soon.

8 Comments:

  • At 11:54 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Nice table. I'm a little concerned that there aren't many .800s in the OPS. Did he give a Dodgers totals (avgs, etc) and comparison to other teams?

     
  • At 2:11 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Hmmm ... looks like Garciaparra-Hamm is an upgrade over the Ballplayin' Korean Bein'. Did a computer really figure that out? Oh no ... a human (Bill James) did. Hmmm ...

     
  • At 3:23 PM, Blogger Jack said…

    This is a response to the first anonymous:

    He did not compare the Dodgers to anybody or give team totals, but I am sure he will do that on the updated version he will publish on March 1st.

    In the current book it still shows Furcal on the Braves and whatnot, so I am sure some of the stat projections like RBIs and Runs will change for him and the other acquisitions.

    Look for the pitcher projections to come soon!

     
  • At 4:50 PM, Blogger Jack said…

    This is a response to the second anonymous:

    You cannot completely rely on these stats, as you have said. Choi very well could be better than Nomah, but the only way to find out is to watch the season.

    These are just the opinions of Bill James...

     
  • At 3:05 PM, Blogger slackfarmer said…

    Also, keep in mind that these projections are for the batters in their prior home parks. Mueller and Lofton's numbers will be reduced a lot coming to Dodger Stadium and Furcal and Nomar's somewhat.

     
  • At 10:01 PM, Blogger Jack said…

    good point, slackfarmer.

    I am sure Mueller's RBIs will go down especially, not so much because of our offense but because he will not have that pleasant BoSox one. Nomar's will go down without Wrigley, and more changes.

    *I will make a new post when I get Bill James' updated projections*

     
  • At 2:41 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    I say briefly: Best! Useful information. Good job guys.
    »

     
  • At 2:43 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Nice! Where you get this guestbook? I want the same script.. Awesome content. thankyou.
    »

     

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